Valencia vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
ESP
1 - 0
VCF
33%
28%
39%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
VCF
1 - 0
CEL
69%
18%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
OSA
1 - 2
VCF
21%
28%
52%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
OLP
1 - 0
VCF
31%
27%
42%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
VCF
1 - 0
ZAR
72%
17%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 1
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 2
LYO
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
FEY
2 - 0
SCH
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 0
OLP
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |