Valencia vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
DEP
1 - 2
VCF
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
VCF
4 - 4
RMA
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
OVI
2 - 1
VCF
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
VCF
4 - 1
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
53%
21%
26%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GIM
2 - 2
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SAB
2 - 3
GIM
53%
21%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GIM
3 - 1
ALC
54%
20%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
CEL
6 - 4
GIM
76%
13%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
RSO
3 - 2
GIM
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |