Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-3
Valencia vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
14%
18%
68%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
EIB
0 - 1
VCF
18%
25%
57%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
VCF
4 - 4
RAY
72%
17%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VCF
3 - 0
RAY
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
VCF
23%
26%
51%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
EIB
61%
24%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
RAY
1 - 3
ESP
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALA
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 1
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FCB
5 - 1
ESP
92%
6%
2%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | +1 |