Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-4
Valencia vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
VCF
2 - 1
RSO
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
VCF
1 - 1
OSA
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
UDL
1 - 1
VCF
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATH
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 0
VCF
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
RMA
2 - 2
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 0
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
BET
1 - 0
ESP
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 1
SLA
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1983 |
RAC
1 - 2
ESP
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |