Valencia vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
CEL
3 - 2
VCF
55%
20%
25%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
VCF
4 - 0
MAL
80%
12%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
VCF
6 - 0
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
VAD
3 - 2
VCF
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 0
VCF
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 1
OVI
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
RSO
5 - 0
ESP
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
FCB
1 - 2
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ESP
3 - 2
DEP
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SEV
2 - 1
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |