Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Valencia vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 1
VCF
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
VCF
4 - 2
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
56%
20%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
RSO
4 - 4
VCF
37%
21%
41%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
RSO
78%
13%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 1
VCF
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
61%
18%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 2
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 2
CEL
73%
14%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
CEL
1 - 3
ESP
55%
19%
26%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |