Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 8-2
Valencia vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1963 |
VCF
3 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SEV
3 - 1
VCF
49%
24%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
VCF
0 - 1
DEP
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
VCF
5 - 0
OVI
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
HIB
2 - 1
VCF
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ELD
2 - 1
REC
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
MEL
3 - 2
ELD
51%
22%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ELD
2 - 1
CDT
47%
28%
26%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ELD
1 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
CAD
6 - 0
ELD
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |