Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-2
Valencia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 4
VCF
18%
19%
63%
|
87 | 46 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
VCF
3 - 1
RMA
60%
20%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
CEL
3 - 3
VCF
42%
22%
37%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
HER
1 - 3
VCF
29%
23%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 4
VCF
18%
19%
63%
|
46 | 87 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 0
MAL
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 0
ELC
75%
14%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
CAR
2 - 1
ELC
56%
20%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ELC
3 - 4
MUR
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |