Europa League 1/32
Global 5-3
Valencia vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATH
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 0
VCF
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
CSK
2 - 1
VCF
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
VCF
2 - 1
FCB
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
FKH
1 - 2
CSK
33%
29%
39%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CSK
1 - 0
OFK
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
CSK
2 - 1
VCF
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BVR
1 - 1
CSK
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
CSK
1 - 2
LSO
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |