Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 8-2
Valencia vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
SAB
2 - 0
VCF
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
VCF
2 - 1
BET
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1967 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATH
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1967 |
VCF
2 - 0
ELC
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
ELC
2 - 1
VCF
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |