Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
Valencia vs Club Atlético De Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 1
RAC
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1962 |
CEU
1 - 0
VCF
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
ELC
2 - 1
VCF
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 0
INT
54%
21%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 1
CDT
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Club Atlético De Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
CEU
2 - 0
ALB
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1962 |
CEU
1 - 0
VCF
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
GRA
3 - 1
CEU
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
CEU
1 - 0
CCF
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
CEU
2 - 1
MUR
48%
28%
25%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |