Europa League 1/64
Global 6-0
Valencia vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ATH
2 - 2
VCF
34%
27%
39%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
0 - 1
VCF
19%
25%
56%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VCF
1 - 0
UDL
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VAD
1 - 1
VCF
27%
28%
45%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
43%
25%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 0
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
0 - 1
VCF
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
TOR
3 - 1
CHE
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
0 - 0
KRS
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
DIN
2 - 1
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |