Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 6-4
Valencia vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 1
ZAR
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ATM
5 - 1
VCF
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1962 |
VCF
6 - 2
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1962 |
SEV
3 - 0
VCF
51%
22%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1962 |
CEL
1 - 2
ABE
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
CLY
1 - 3
CEL
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1962 |
CEL
0 - 1
GLA
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
DUN
0 - 0
CEL
60%
18%
22%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUN
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |