Valencia vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 3
VCF
61%
18%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
VCF
4 - 0
RAC
56%
20%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
SEV
4 - 2
VCF
62%
18%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
RMA
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
50%
21%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 1
CEL
84%
10%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 0
ESP
49%
20%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
RAC
6 - 2
CEL
64%
17%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 0
SEV
52%
20%
29%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 1
CEL
81%
11%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |