Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 8-7
Valencia vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
EUR
3 - 2
VCF
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1928 |
VCF
3 - 2
RSO
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1928 |
RSO
7 - 0
VCF
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 1928 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
RMA
2 - 2
VCF
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
EUR
3 - 2
VCF
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
EUR
4 - 2
PAT
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
RSO
4 - 2
EUR
82%
11%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
FCB
2 - 2
EUR
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
EUR
7 - 0
ISC
42%
23%
35%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |