Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 0-1
Valencia vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
CAS
0 - 0
VCF
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
UDL
1 - 0
VCF
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
VCF
1 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
CAS
1 - 3
VCF
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
VCF
1 - 0
CEL
70%
20%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
CAS
0 - 0
VCF
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
CAS
3 - 1
BET
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
OVI
0 - 0
CAS
48%
30%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
CAS
1 - 3
VCF
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
DEP
1 - 1
CAS
50%
30%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |