Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-1
Valencia vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ELC
4 - 1
VCF
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
VCF
0 - 0
RSO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
79%
13%
9%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
VCF
3 - 1
RAC
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
BET
0 - 0
VCF
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
MAL
0 - 2
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CAS
0 - 0
EXT
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CAS
2 - 0
CCF
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SFE
2 - 2
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CAD
3 - 1
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |