Valencia vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
11.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 1
VCF
49%
21%
30%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
VCF
2 - 2
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
VCF
2 - 2
OVI
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
MUR
2 - 2
VCF
32%
25%
44%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
CAS
4 - 0
ATH
36%
24%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALC
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ESP
4 - 1
CAS
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 0
SPO
50%
22%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |