Valencia vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1945 |
GRA
2 - 1
VCF
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
VCF
2 - 3
FCB
67%
16%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
ATM
4 - 1
VCF
49%
21%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
VCF
4 - 0
SEV
73%
14%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
VCF
5 - 1
SEV
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1945 |
CAS
4 - 0
DEP
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
ESP
5 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
CAS
0 - 3
RMA
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 0
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
CAS
3 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |