Valencia vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
SEV
3 - 1
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
VCF
8 - 3
BET
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
ATH
5 - 1
VCF
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
VCF
7 - 0
ZAR
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
OVI
4 - 1
VCF
44%
22%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
CAS
3 - 0
BET
65%
18%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
CAS
3 - 1
DEP
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
FCB
7 - 1
CAS
73%
15%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
CAS
3 - 0
RMA
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |