Europa League 1/16
Global 2-1
Valencia vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
RMA
3 - 0
VCF
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
VCF
4 - 0
ATH
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
OSA
2 - 1
VCF
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
VCF
1 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
VCF
1 - 0
BOH
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
SCP
3 - 3
BOA
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1981 |
ATM
3 - 1
BOA
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
BOA
0 - 0
RIO
69%
19%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
EST
1 - 0
BOA
30%
32%
38%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
BOA
4 - 1
ATM
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |