Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
Valencia vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
VCF
0 - 1
RSO
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
RAC
3 - 2
VCF
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
CEL
1 - 1
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
VCF
1 - 0
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
SEV
1 - 2
VCF
34%
27%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
BYM
1 - 0
ARB
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
BYM
4 - 2
LEV
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
MSV
0 - 4
BYM
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
BYM
1 - 1
RTV
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
STP
1 - 2
BYM
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |