Valencia vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
VCF
3 - 0
RAY
63%
21%
16%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 3
VCF
33%
27%
40%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MAL
2 - 2
VCF
36%
28%
37%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
VCF
2 - 0
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
VCF
3 - 0
REC
76%
17%
7%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAS
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
NEX
1 - 1
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 0
SPA
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BAS
7 - 1
WIL
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |