Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 8-2
Valencia vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
VCF
6 - 3
BET
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
VCF
1 - 0
CCF
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
BAS
1 - 3
VCF
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
UDL
0 - 2
VCF
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
BAS
1 - 3
VCF
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
STR
5 - 2
BAS
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1964 |
BAS
0 - 1
STR
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAS
30%
21%
49%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
BAS
2 - 0
SPO
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |