Valencia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEE
2 - 1
VCF
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
VCF
0 - 0
LEV
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 1
VCF
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
VCF
0 - 1
ALA
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VCF
0 - 0
CAS
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACM
54%
23%
24%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
57%
22%
21%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 2
MAC
20%
21%
59%
|
96 | 100 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
OLO
91%
7%
2%
|
96 | 49 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
19%
21%
60%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |