Valencia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ATH
7 - 0
VCF
60%
19%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VCF
8 - 1
RAC
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
MAL
1 - 1
VCF
33%
23%
44%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VCF
4 - 0
UDL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
RMA
1 - 2
VCF
62%
19%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATM
82%
11%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 1
FCB
36%
24%
40%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ALA
2 - 2
FCB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 2
SEV
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |