Valencia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
VCF
2 - 2
RMA
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
GIM
1 - 1
VCF
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
VCF
4 - 1
ATH
67%
17%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 4
VCF
43%
23%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
VCF
1 - 2
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 2
VAD
82%
10%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
DEP
3 - 0
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
FCB
7 - 0
SEV
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
RMA
6 - 1
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
FCB
10 - 1
GIM
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |