Valencia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 3
VCF
68%
16%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
VCF
5 - 0
GRA
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
RSO
0 - 3
VCF
35%
22%
44%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
59%
19%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
RMA
5 - 3
VCF
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCB
54%
20%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 2
ESP
50%
21%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
HER
3 - 1
FCB
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 1
FCB
18%
17%
66%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |