Valencia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1925 |
VCF
8 - 0
ZAR
81%
12%
7%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1925 |
FCB
7 - 3
VCF
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1923 |
SPO
2 - 0
VCF
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1923 |
SPO
6 - 1
VCF
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1923 |
VCF
1 - 0
SPO
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1925 |
ZAR
1 - 5
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1925 |
FCB
7 - 3
VCF
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1924 |
RUN
6 - 1
FCB
23%
23%
55%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1924 |
FCB
2 - 0
RUN
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1924 |
RUN
1 - 0
FCB
22%
22%
56%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |