Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-2
Valencia vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.7%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.8%
2.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
VCF
0 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
RSO
0 - 0
VCF
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
B19
2 - 2
VCF
13%
22%
66%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
VCF
2 - 2
SLA
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
B19
2 - 2
VCF
13%
22%
66%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
APO
0 - 1
B19
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1979 |
B19
6 - 0
APO
44%
21%
35%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
B19
4 - 4
KUO
48%
21%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
KUO
2 - 1
B19
68%
17%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |