Valencia vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
DEP
0 - 0
VCF
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
FCB
2 - 1
VCF
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
VCF
4 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 2
VCF
49%
22%
29%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
VCF
1 - 0
SAB
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 2
FCB
57%
20%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATM
64%
17%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
ATM
3 - 2
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
SAB
1 - 1
ATM
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 2
SPO
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |