Valencia vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
SEV
10 - 3
VCF
67%
17%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
FCB
4 - 3
VCF
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATH
36%
22%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
ATM
4 - 4
FCB
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 5
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
ATM
3 - 1
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
MUR
1 - 1
ATM
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 4
CEL
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |