Valencia vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1941 |
VCF
3 - 0
ATH
43%
22%
36%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
VCF
4 - 0
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
60%
19%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
3 - 0
VCF
79%
11%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
43%
23%
35%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
6 - 2
ATM
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
ATM
6 - 0
FCB
63%
18%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |