Valencia vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
ESP
3 - 0
VCF
46%
28%
27%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
VCF
0 - 1
CRV
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
VCF
0 - 1
RMA
53%
26%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
BET
0 - 0
VCF
27%
29%
44%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
CRV
3 - 1
VCF
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
ATH
3 - 0
DEP
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ATH
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
ATH
0 - 1
GRA
65%
21%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATH
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 0
ATM
45%
29%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |