Valencia vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1966 |
MAL
2 - 1
VCF
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
VCF
0 - 1
SEV
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
VCF
1 - 2
ELC
74%
15%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 0
VCF
69%
17%
13%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1966 |
ATH
2 - 0
PON
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
BET
2 - 0
ATH
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
SAB
1 - 2
ATH
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ATH
4 - 0
MLL
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATH
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |