Valencia vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 4
VCF
43%
23%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
VCF
1 - 2
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 2
VCF
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATH
72%
14%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
FCB
3 - 2
VCF
69%
16%
15%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ATH
3 - 0
OVI
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
RSO
2 - 3
ATH
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
ATH
3 - 1
FCB
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATH
72%
14%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
ATH
6 - 2
ESP
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |