Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Valencia vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1943 |
ATH
1 - 0
VCF
72%
14%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
DEP
0 - 3
VCF
36%
22%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1943 |
VCF
2 - 2
DEP
81%
12%
8%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
VCF
0 - 1
ZAR
87%
9%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
ZAR
2 - 4
VCF
29%
22%
49%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1943 |
ATH
1 - 0
VCF
72%
14%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
ATH
4 - 1
ATM
77%
13%
11%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1943 |
ATM
1 - 3
ATH
58%
19%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATH
38%
23%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
ATH
7 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |