Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Valencia vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
VCF
1 - 2
ALA
67%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
RAY
1 - 4
VCF
37%
27%
37%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
ARS
2 - 1
VCF
49%
25%
26%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
VCF
0 - 1
ESP
70%
19%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
CEL
3 - 2
VCF
41%
27%
32%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ARS
0 - 3
MID
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
0 - 4
ARS
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ARS
2 - 1
TOT
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
ARS
2 - 1
VCF
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
ARS
2 - 0
TOT
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |