Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 12-1
Valencia vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
11.5%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.6%
1.5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
VCF
1 - 1
RBU
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
ARN
0 - 6
VCF
10%
22%
68%
|
83 | 23 | 60 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ALB
1 - 0
VCF
28%
30%
42%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
VCF
2 - 1
DEP
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
MLL
3 - 1
VCF
39%
30%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ARN
1 - 1
YAG
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
ARN
0 - 6
VCF
10%
22%
68%
|
23 | 83 | 60 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
IZA
3 - 1
ARN
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
ARN
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
ARN
1 - 2
PEÑ
40%
27%
34%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |