Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Valencia vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.2%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
1.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
VCF
3 - 2
VAD
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SPO
1 - 1
VCF
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
VCF
3 - 3
RAC
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
RAC
1 - 0
VCF
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
HOS
0 - 0
ALC
60%
25%
15%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALC
66%
22%
13%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
AGD
0 - 0
ALC
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
ALC
1 - 0
LOR
60%
25%
15%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
ALB
0 - 0
ALC
62%
25%
12%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |