Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 10-1
Valencia vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
VCF
1 - 0
BUR
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
RMA
1 - 0
VCF
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 3
VCF
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
VCF
3 - 0
ESP
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
VCF
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDB
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
TCF
3 - 1
ALC
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 3
VCF
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 81 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 0
ZAM
56%
22%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALC
69%
22%
9%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |