Valencia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
VCF
2 - 2
DEP
58%
19%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
LEO
0 - 3
VCF
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
VCF
2 - 1
BET
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
VCF
2 - 2
SPO
52%
20%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
MUR
4 - 6
VCF
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
ALA
5 - 0
MUR
67%
18%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
DEP
4 - 0
ALA
53%
22%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
ALA
3 - 1
SPO
45%
22%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
BET
3 - 2
ALA
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
SEV
2 - 1
ALA
58%
20%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |