Valence vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
VAL
2 - 3
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
OLY
0 - 1
VAL
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
VAL
0 - 1
NOI
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
VAL
3 - 2
USB
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
AMI
2 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
STR
0 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
CLE
0 - 1
STR
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
ASS
3 - 3
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |