Valence vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
FCG
3 - 1
VAL
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
VAL
0 - 0
TFC
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
VAL
0 - 1
NIC
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
VAL
4 - 3
LOR
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 0
VAL
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
SPO
1 - 1
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
CSL
0 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
SPO
0 - 1
LEN
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 0
RED
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
SPO
2 - 1
LIL
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |