Valence vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
ASB
0 - 5
VAL
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 1
NÎM
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
TRO
0 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 1
LMU
40%
27%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 1
VAL
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
FCG
4 - 1
ASS
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
ASS
3 - 2
LIL
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
RED
1 - 2
ASS
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
ASS
3 - 1
NÎM
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1999 |
ESW
1 - 3
ASS
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |