Valence vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
FCM
2 - 0
VAL
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
VAL
2 - 1
CSL
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
ASB
1 - 2
VAL
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
VAL
2 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
NIC
0 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
ASS
1 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1997 |
AMI
0 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
ASS
0 - 0
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
RED
1 - 0
ASS
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
ASS
1 - 2
LMU
52%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |