Valence vs Rodez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COL
4 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
LEP
58%
21%
20%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAE
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
OLY
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rodez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 4
CAN
28%
27%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
OLY
5 - 0
ROD
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
HYE
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 1
ROD
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 3
ALB
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -2 |