Valence vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 0
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
MON
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BEZ
2 - 3
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 1
CON
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 0
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
LEP
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LEP
2 - 0
HYE
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LEP
2 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 2
LEP
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LEP
2 - 1
ROD
24%
24%
51%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |