Valence vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAE
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
OLY
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
5 - 2
JUR
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LYO
3 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LEP
1 - 1
CAN
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
OLY
0 - 3
LEP
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LEP
0 - 1
HYE
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CON
4 - 3
LEP
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LEP
4 - 2
BEZ
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |