Valence vs Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
RED
3 - 1
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1994 |
VAL
2 - 4
AMI
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1994 |
NIO
1 - 1
VAL
44%
29%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1994 |
VAL
3 - 1
MAR
8%
18%
73%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
OLY
1 - 0
VAL
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
PER
2 - 0
NÎM
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1994 |
TFC
1 - 2
PER
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
PER
1 - 1
GUI
36%
29%
36%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1994 |
STL
3 - 2
PER
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
PER
0 - 0
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |